LNP 3.5%
Incumbent MP
Michael Crandon, since 2009.
Geography
South-East Queensland. Coomera covers the northern Gold Coast suburbs of Steiglitz, Jacobs Well, Hope Island, Helensvale and parts of Coomera, Pimpama and Ormeau.
History
The seat of Coomera was created at the 2009 election out of parts of the Albert electorate, in the fast-growing corridor between Brisbane and the Gold Coast.
The seat was created with an 8.3% margin for the ALP, but a swing of over 10% saw the LNP’s Michael Crandon elected as the seat’s first MP. Crandon was re-elected in 2012, 2015 and 2017.
Candidates
- Lissy Gavranich (Greens)
- Chris Johnson (Labor)
- Heath Gallagher (United Australia)
- She D’Montford (Informed Medical Options)
- Michael Crandon (Liberal National)
- Darryl Prout (Animal Justice)
- Kris Bourbon (Independent)
- Tabita Wilkinson (One Nation)
Assessment
Coomera is a marginal seat, but isn’t likely to be a high-priority target for Labor.
2017 result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Michael Crandon | Liberal National | 11,535 | 39.4 | -7.8 |
| Christopher Johnson | Labor | 9,158 | 31.2 | -1.1 |
| Ronald Pigdon | One Nation | 5,998 | 20.5 | +20.5 |
| Tayla Kerwin | Greens | 2,620 | 8.9 | +3.3 |
| Informal | 1,806 | 5.8 |
2017 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Michael Crandon | Liberal National | 15,673 | 53.5 | -2.3 |
| Christopher Johnson | Labor | 13,638 | 46.5 | +2.3 |
Booth breakdown
Booths in Coomera have been divided into three areas: central, north and south.
The LNP won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in the centre (52.7%) and the north (59.2%) while Labor won 51% in the south.
One Nation came third, with a vote ranging from 18.8% in the south to 24.1% in the north.
| Voter group | ON prim | LNP 2PP | Total votes | % of votes |
| Central | 20.8 | 52.7 | 8,973 | 30.6 |
| South | 18.8 | 49.0 | 8,094 | 27.6 |
| North | 24.1 | 59.2 | 2,355 | 8.0 |
| Pre-poll | 20.8 | 55.4 | 4,424 | 15.1 |
| Other votes | 20.6 | 57.3 | 5,465 | 18.6 |
Election results in Coomera at the 2017 QLD state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and One Nation primary votes.
@ Louis, is it possible that the Somerset region of Blair could go into Maronoa/Wright etc do these seats need to grow?
@Nimalan i’m not too familiar with the area but it looks like wright is over quota and is home to the rapidly growing yarrabilba and jimboomba. maranoa is under quota so this could be suitable but i’m not sure if suburbs like kilcoy and esk would naturally fit within the electorate
@Louis @potatoes yep, also curious to see a link because all other recent indicators like the most recent ABS population report (albeit, not their forward projections) suggested that momentum is waning on that quota. Queensland is still growing exceptionally fast. But record international migration inflow to Sydney and Melbourne has propped up the population growth in NSW & Victoria. So Queensland is now no longer increasing its population at a growth-rate double relative to Victoria or NSW. Still exceeding their growth rates but not by as much as the previous 12 – 24 months.
Coomera now starting to stall on 52,260 enrolments. Logan and Jordan are starting to jump significantly which has softened Coomera’s deviation down to 35.80% from 36.62%.